IMD Director General Mrityunjay Mohapatra gave this information. Referring to the warming of the central Pacific Ocean, he said that so far the indications have been that El Nino is decreasing.
IMD Weather Update: Heat wave conditions have formed in many parts of the country in the month of April. People are in bad condition due to the scorching heat. However, India Meteorological Department (IMD) has given news of relief. According to meteorologists, there may be more rain this year than last year. This is because the level of influence of El Nino is decreasing. This is indicating a better environment for monsoon.
Director General of India Meteorological Department, Mrityunjay Mahapatra gave this information. Referring to the warming of the central Pacific Ocean, he said that so far the indications have been that El Nino is decreasing. The impact will subside by the beginning of June, after which neutral conditions may prevail. This climatic phenomenon is favorable for the south-west monsoon.
Let us tell you, south-west monsoon is important for the agricultural sector of India. It covers about 70 percent of the annual rainfall in the country. The agriculture sector in the country contributes about 14 percent to the GDP and employs more than half of the approximately 1.4 billion population. This lack of rainfall has a major impact on the country’s economy.
IMD chief Mahapatra said that La Nina conditions are being observed between July and September this year, which is contributing to the cooling of the central Pacific Ocean. La Nina is good for the Indian monsoon and neutral conditions are good this time, he said. Last year, due to El Nino, 60 percent of the Indian monsoon area was negatively affected, but this situation will not be seen this year. Eurasia also has low snow cover this year, largely favorable for the monsoon.
Rainfall was less last year
According to the report, India had recorded rainfall as low as 820 mm in the 2023 monsoon season compared to the average rainfall of 868.6 mm. The Meteorological Department attributed this to the strong El Nino. Later this month, IMD will release the forecast of south-west monsoon, which may provide information about a new signal.
Prediction is based on three events
– El Nino conditions
– Temperature in the Indian Ocean Dipole
– Snow cover on the northern Himalayas and Eurasian landmass
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